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Decision Time on Soybeans

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WORTHINGTON
75
Mostly Sunny
Feels Like
75 F
Humidity
64 %
Dew Point
62 F
Barometer
30.06 inHg
Winds
NNE 9 mph
Sunrise
06:01:00
Sunset
20:56:00

Sun 7/22

Mon 7/23

Tue 7/24

Wed 7/25

Thu 7/26

High

78 F

78 F

80 F

79 F

74 F

Low

59 F

63 F

59 F

61 F

57 F

Percip

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

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CFE Grain Comments

7/20/2018

Good Afternoon

Corn futures ended the session slightly firmer, marking the 5th consecutive session higher.  The recent move upwards has been attributed more to short covering than fresh buying interest.  As of midday, funds had bought approximately 5,000 contracts of corn.  The December contract was able to settle above $3.60 ¾ today, which was the 20 day moving average.  This was a positive indicator and gives the short-term technical edge to the bulls.  The next chart objective sits at $3.74.  The current Midwest forecast shows rain will impact the eastern Midwest into the weekend while the west is expected to be mainly dry. The 6-10 day weather forecast looks cool and dry while the 8-14 day maps show the Corn Belt split, with drier conditions in the northern half and wetter conditions in the southern half.  The yield debate continues with many analysts forecasting a record corn crop, some with estimates north of 180 bpa. 

Soybean futures traded both sides of unchanged today but were able to end the session firmer.  However, buying interest will need to pick-up in order to generate stronger upside momentum.   Sustained gains for the November contract above the 20-day moving average ($8.71 ½) would be a bullish short-term trend signal. On the upside, minor resistance lies at $8.81.  Fresh comments from President Trump about his willingness to extend tariffs to cover $500 bln. worth of Chinese goods hung over the market today, but somewhat surprisingly was not enough to ultimately move it lower.  Tariffs are already in place against $34 bln. and the President is moving forward with another $200 bln. to be put in place by September.  Trade relations with China remain rocky as White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow recently blamed China's President Xi for stalling negotiations and China responded by saying that troubles were a product of U.S. resistance.   Meanwhile, Canada and the EU made it clear they would retaliate if the U.S. unveils auto tariffs.  
 
Please take time and support all the local county fair participants this Summer.

Have a great day!

This Marketing Information provided by

Wayne Kollis - Melissa Peters - Mike Rosenberg
Matt Zeman - Austin Behrendsen
 

@CU8
@CU8
CORN
Last High Low Change Last Updated  
Sep '18 3.5525 3.5575 3.4975 0.0400 7/20/18 3:47 PM
Dec '18 3.6900 3.6975 3.6375 0.0400 7/20/18 3:31 PM
Mar '19 3.8000 3.8050 3.7475 0.0350 7/20/18 3:06 PM
May '19 3.8625 3.8675 3.8125 0.0350 7/20/18 1:30 PM
Jul '19 3.9200 3.9250 3.8725 0.0325 7/20/18 1:30 PM
SOYBEANS
Last High Low Change Last Updated  
Aug '18 8.4975 8.5325 8.4125 0.0375 7/20/18 2:31 PM
Sep '18 8.5525 8.5900 8.4725 0.0325 7/20/18 2:50 PM
Nov '18 8.6475 8.6875 8.5650 0.0325 7/20/18 2:52 PM
Jan '19 8.7500 8.7875 8.6675 0.0325 7/20/18 1:30 PM
Mar '19 8.8375 8.8775 8.7600 0.0300 7/20/18 1:30 PM
SOYBEAN MEAL
Last High Low Change Last Updated  
Aug '18 326.9 331.5 326.1 -1.9 7/20/18 3:59 PM
Sep '18 325.6 329.9 324.9 -1.8 7/20/18 3:06 PM
Oct '18 324.9 329.3 324.2 -1.7 7/20/18 1:30 PM
Dec '18 324.6 328.9 323.6 -1.5 7/20/18 1:30 PM
Jan '19 322.7 326.9 321.7 -1.4 7/20/18 3:36 PM
LEAN HOGS
Last High Low Change Last Updated  
Aug '18 66.450 67.050 65.650 -0.800 7/20/18 4:10 PM
Oct '18 51.275 52.000 50.725 -0.950 7/20/18 1:05 PM
Dec '18 45.925 46.725 45.675 -0.950 7/20/18 4:10 PM
FEEDER CATTLE
Last High Low Change Last Updated  
Aug '18 153.675 154.425 152.975 -0.775 7/20/18 3:02 PM
Sep '18 154.550 154.675 153.500 -0.225 7/20/18 1:05 PM
Oct '18 154.775 154.925 153.725 -0.150 7/20/18 4:09 PM
LIVE CATTLE
Last High Low Change Last Updated  
Aug '18 108.925 109.350 108.275 0.025 7/20/18 2:46 PM
Oct '18 110.250 111.075 109.775 -0.400 7/20/18 4:10 PM
Dec '18 114.200 114.700 113.875 -0.225 7/20/18 4:10 PM
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